According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of SunSirs, the average price of first grade white sugar in China was 6,270 RMB/ton at the beginning of the month, and 6,246 RMB/ton at the end of the month, with a price drop of 0.38%.
On the domestic supply side, the final sugar production in Yunnan during the 2024/25 crushing season is around 2.45 million tons, and the national sugar production may approach 11.2 million tons, an increase of 1.23 million tons year-on-year. From January to April 2025, China imported a total of 280,000 tons of sugar, a year-on-year decrease of 970,000 tons. On the demand side, the market has a slow delivery speed, and traders have low enthusiasm for picking up goods, with a strong intention to purchase on demand. There is still heavy rainfall in southern China, and there is a cooling phenomenon in many parts of the north. The digestion speed of downstream cold drinks, beverages, etc. has slowed down.
Internationally, Brazil's sugar production during the 2025/26 crushing season will increase to 45.9 million tons. As of April 10th, Thailand's 2024/25 crushing season has officially ended, with a final sugarcane crushing capacity of 92.04 million tons. Compared with the previous crushing season, this season's sugar production reached 10.05 million tons, higher than the previous season's 8.8 million tons.
The domestic market has entered a period of pure sales, and the speed of destocking has accelerated. The supply of imported sugar will increase in July and August, and it is expected that the price of white sugar will mainly fluctuate and weaken in the short term.
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