According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the domestic natural rubber spot market has been fluctuating narrowly recently (10.14-10.20). As of October 20th, the spot rubber market price in China's natural rubber market was around 14,458 RMB/ton, an increase of 0.46% from 14,391 RMB/ton on the 14th. The high price of natural rubber raw materials is under pressure, which weakens the expected support for the natural rubber market; In addition, downstream tire production resumed after the holiday, providing essential support for natural rubber. In addition, the continued slight destocking of natural rubber inventory at the port has led to a narrow consolidation of the natural rubber market. As of October 20th, the mainstream price for 24 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao area is 14,300-14,550 RMB/ton.

As of October 20th, the price of Thai glue was 54.10 baht/kg, unchanged from October 14th. Although there have been typhoons affecting some rubber cutting operations in Hainan and Yunnan regions of China recently, the overseas weather has improved, and the expected supply of natural rubber raw materials will gradually be released, putting overall pressure on raw material prices.

Recently (10.14-10.20), natural rubber inventory has continued to decrease slightly, which has a greater impact on natural rubber. As of October 19, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 437,500 tons, a decrease of 18,600 tons or 4.07% compared to the previous period.

After the recent holidays (10.14-10.20), downstream tire production has gradually resumed, providing essential support for the natural rubber market. As of October 17th, the construction of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly increased to around 71%; The production of all steel tires by tire companies in Shandong Province has slightly decreased to around 64%.

The current high prices of natural rubber raw materials have fallen back, and downstream production is low. However, the overall inventory of Tianjiao Port continues to decline slightly, and it is expected that the natural rubber market will experience weak fluctuations before the holiday.

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