According to the monitoring of the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the price of corrugated paper will fluctuate in July 2025, with a slight increase in overall monthly growth. On July 31st, the average ex factory price of 140g corrugated paper was 2,572 RMB/ton, an increase of 0.08% compared to the average price on July 1st.
In terms of upstream raw materials, the price of waste paper in Zhejiang Province continued to rise in July, with domestic waste paper prices increasing more and decreasing less. On July 31st, the average purchase price of A-grade waste yellow cardboard in Zhejiang Province was 1,558 RMB/ton, an increase of 4.28% compared to the average price on July 1st. The shortage of supply in the waste yellow cardboard market in July was the main reason for the price increase of waste yellow cardboard. In addition, the increased enthusiasm of leading paper mills for price increases has driven surrounding paper mills to follow suit, which is a logical reflection of the overall rise in the market price of waste yellow cardboard in July. In the future, there may be more high temperatures and rainy weather in August and September, which will affect the recycling and trading of waste yellow cardboard, and there may still be room for paper prices to rise.
On the supply side: In July, the production equipment of the enterprise operated stably, and the inventory of the corrugated paper industry remained at a high level. At the beginning of the month, some paper mill enterprises adopted a strategy of reducing prices and reducing inventory to alleviate the pressure of inventory increase. But subsequently, the prices of raw materials and waste paper continued to rise, which to some extent suppressed the decline in paper prices and boosted market confidence. The frequent increase in corrugated paper prices from leading paper mills has had a certain stimulating effect on the corrugated paper market.
On the demand side: In early July, due to the off-season effect in the industry, the demand side performed weakly, but the prices of the main raw material, waste paper, rose. Therefore, the price policies of paper mills varied, and actual transactions fell more than they rose. Many businesses remained cautious and watched. In mid to late July, due to the continuous increase in cost pressure and the sustained rise of leading paper mills, the range of follow-up increases for small and medium-sized paper mills expanded, and market transactions slightly increased. However, due to the difficulty in easing supply and demand pressure, the increase in paper prices was also suppressed.
The paper analyst of SunSirs believes that the current price of waste paper is supported by tight supply, and the price has still risen, which may further increase the cost pressure on corrugated paper production enterprises and lead to the continued pressure on the gross profit of the corrugated paper industry. In August, with the release of orders for National Day and Mid Autumn Festival, there may be positive performance on the demand side, and it is expected that the price of corrugated paper may rise in the short term.
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