According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the domestic natural rubber spot market has been weak and volatile recently (7.1-7.9). As of July 9th, the spot rubber market in China's natural rubber market was around 13,908 RMB/ton, a decrease of 0.14% from 13,928 RMB/ton on the first day, and the high point during the cycle was 13,983 RMB/ton. Downstream semi steel tire production has slightly decreased, providing weak support for rubber rigid demand; The slight decline in raw material prices, coupled with the continued increase in port inventories, still puts some pressure on the natural rubber market. As of July 9th, the mainstream price for 23 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao is 13,850-14,150 RMB/ton.

As of July 9th, the price of Thai glue was 54.30 baht/kg, a decrease of 2.16 baht/kg from 55.50 baht/kg on July 1st. Currently, the natural rubber production areas in China and Vietnam have been fully cut off; Natural rubber producing areas such as Thailand and Indonesia have entered a period of increased production. The expected increase in global supply remains unchanged, and the price of natural rubber raw materials is expected to continue to decline in the later stage.

Recently (7.1-7.9), natural rubber inventories have slightly increased, which has a bearish impact on the natural rubber market. As of July 6, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 632,400 tons, an increase of 0.03 million tons or 0.05% compared to the previous period.

Recently (7.1-7.9), the production of downstream semi steel tires has slightly decreased, providing essential support for the natural rubber market. As of July 4th, the production of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly decreased to around 70%; Around 64% of tire companies in Shandong have started construction on all steel tires.

As domestic and international raw material prices stabilize at high levels and expectations continue to decline in the later stage, downstream production fluctuates slightly, providing support for natural rubber demand, and Tianjin Rubber Port inventory remains high; Overall, it is expected that the natural rubber market will experience weak fluctuations in the later period.

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