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SunSirs: China Coke Market is Running weakly, and Prices are Expected to Decline
June 10 2025 09:25:40SunSirs(Selena)

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, on June 9, 2025, the coke market in Shanxi Province experienced a narrow downward trend, with an average price of 1,354 RMB/ton, a decrease of 12% compared to the same period last month. Currently, the overall coke market price is weak, and the quasi first grade metallurgical coke in Liaoning local market is 1,420 RMB/ton.

Market wise: On the 9th, the metallurgical coke prices in the Lvliang market were weak. Mainstream steel mills in Hebei and Shandong bid to raise and lower coke prices for three rounds. The price of wet quenched coke was lowered by 70 RMB/ton, and the price of dry quenched coke was lowered by 75 RMB/ton. The execution time was midnight on June 6, 2025. Currently, factories are operating at a high level, and overall coke enterprises are shipping slowly, with high inventory pressure and backlog problems. Demand wise: Currently, steel mills are pessimistic, blast furnace maintenance has increased, and iron production expectations have fallen. In the short term, the supply and demand structure of coke is loose, and coke prices are still mainly expected to decline, with a narrow downward trend.

In terms of price increase and decrease: On the morning of June 9th, the imported coking coal market in Mongolia operated weakly. Last week, the third round of coke price increase and decrease was fully implemented, but coking plants are still accumulating inventory, and there are expectations for further coke price increase and decrease. Market traders and downstream operators have a weak mentality, cautious operations, and a pessimistic market sentiment.

Regional prices: On June 9th, the coke prices in the Changzhi market were weak, with prices ranging from 1,245-1,315 RMB/ton for dry quenched coke, 1,200 RMB/ton for wet quenched coke, and 1,425-1,455 RMB/ton for dry quenched coke, all of which are ex factory prices including taxes. On June 9th, the price of blue charcoal in the Shenmu market remained stable, with no adjustments to enterprise prices. The current prices for intermediate materials are 615-670 RMB/ton, small materials are 575-630 RMB/ton, and the mainstream price for coke surface is 440-520 RMB/ton, all of which are ex factory prices including taxes in cash.

The coke analyst from SunSirs believes that the current spot sentiment in the coke market is average, and it is expected that coke will operate weakly and steadily in the short term. The dual coke market will also operate weakly, and there is still a downward expectation for prices.

 

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