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AP2105 Continues to Set New Lows and Trading Volume Increases
January 08 2021 09:03:29Ruida Futures(Linda)

Domestic disk: Apple futures 2105 contract increased the volume, the highest is 6416, the lowest is 6221, and the closing is 6377, +0.54% from the previous trading day; trading volume is 494925; positions are 294512, +1091.

News: According to Zhongguo.com, due to the cooling weather, the packaging of workers in the cold storage has been significantly reduced, and there are not many shipments. The mainstream prices in some production areas represented by Shaanxi Xunyi once again fell by 0.10-0.20 yuan/500g. The Shandong Peninsula continued to snow and the traffic conditions were poor, and cold storage shipments were basically suspended.

In terms of spot: Shandong Yantai Qixia Paper Bag Red Fuji Fruit Nong 80# and above the first and second grade prices are around 3.0-3.2 yuan/500g, and the paper bag Fuji 80# first and second grade piece red price is about 2.8 yuan/500g.

Inventory of warehouse receipts: There are 25 warehouse receipts for Apple Futures of ZCE, which is -1 compared to the previous trading day, and there are no effective forecasts.

Position analysis: The top 20 long positions of the Apple futures contract at the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange on that day were 185485 lots, +1876; short positions were 206764, +5744; net short positions were 21279 lots.

Summary: Domestic apple spot quotations remain stable; according to the world's granary, as of December 30, the national apple cold storage storage capacity was 11.4805 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 1.47%. The storage capacity ratio of Shandong apple cold storage was 82.69%, a year-on-year increase of 7.69%, and the storage capacity ratio of Shaanxi was 78.27%, a year-on-year decrease of 5.56%. At present, Xianyang cold storage is mainly exported in Shaanxi. There was a slight decline; most of the products in Shandong production areas were not as good as the same period in previous years, and some cold storages were eager to deliver goods. The quotations of the origins were lowered slightly, but the transaction still showed no improvement. On the whole, channel stockists still give priority to self-inventory outbound. Some production areas continue to be affected by snowfall and the amount of outbound is limited. Most local merchants still pin their hopes on the Spring Festival demand. Although the sales of other substitutes were not as good as last year, they were still better than Apple's delivery speed, which dragged down the Apple market to some extent. Need to pay attention to changes in demand during the Spring Festival. Technically, after futures prices rebounded, there is a possibility of technical repair. Operationally, it is recommended that Apple's 2105 contract wait and see for the time being.

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