Price trend:

According to the business data analysis system of SunSirs, the price of soda ash rose in November.  At the beginning of the month, the average market price of light soda ash was 1,186RMB/ton, and at the end of the month, the average market price was around 1,224RMB/ton, representing an increase of 38RMB/ton, or 3.20%.

Supply Side:

According to the business data analysis system of SunSirs, the soda ash market showed a strong upward trend in November. On the supply side, soda ash plants underwent maintenance or reduced production, leading to a decline in overall operating rates and a decrease in enterprise inventories, thus supporting higher soda ash prices. On the demand side, the glass industry's operating rate fluctuated within a narrow range, increasing its purchasing activity for soda ash. Overall soda ash inventories decreased, and market sentiment was clearly bullish, resulting in a strong upward trend in soda ash prices throughout the month.

As of November 30, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China was approximately 1,180-1,550 RMB/ton, an increase of 50-150 RMB/ton compared to the previous month; in Central China, the mainstream price was around 1,110-1,220 RMB/ton, an increase of 20 RMB/ton; and in North China, the mainstream price was around 1,250-1,270 RMB/ton, an increase of 80-100 RMB/ton.

Demand-side analysis: According to SunSirs' commodity analysis system, glass prices fluctuated within a range this month. The average market price of glass decreased from 13.85 RMB/square meter to 13.68 RMB/square meter, a total decrease of 1.23%. During the month, the glass production rate slightly declined, and enterprise inventories decreased marginally. Downstream demand was generally weak, with only essential purchases being made. The market trading atmosphere was sluggish, leading to limited inventory reduction and a downward trend in glass prices.

Market outlook

Due to maintenance and reduced production at soda ash plants, supply-side pressure had eased.  Downstream industries had planned maintenance shutdowns, leading to lower expected operating rates and insufficient support for soda ash prices. The market fundamentals remained characterized by strong supply and weak demand. Therefore, the soda ash market is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in December, depending on downstream demand.

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