Price trend

According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the price of soda ash continued to fall in August. The average market price of light soda ash was 1,286 RMB/ton at the beginning of the month and about 1,210 RMB/ton at the end of the month. The overall price dropped by 76 RMB/ton during the month, a drop of 5.91%.

Analysis review

According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the soda ash market continued to decline in August. On the supply side, some maintenance units were restored, the utilization rate of soda ash production capacity increased, and the output continued to be at a high level. On the demand side, terminal transactions were flat, downstream consumption was slow and the intention to replenish stocks was not high. The inventory of soda ash companies accumulated, the fundamental situation of strong supply and weak demand continued, and the bearish atmosphere was strong. In order to promote shipments, the price center of soda ash continued to move downward.

As of August 29, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China was around 1,110-1,400 RMB/ton, down 140 RMB/ton within the month; the mainstream price of light soda ash in Central China was around 1,130-1,300 RMB/ton, down 70 RMB/ton within the month; the mainstream price of light soda ash in North China was around 1,200-1,300 RMB/ton, down 50 RMB/ton within the month.

On the demand side: According to the SunSirs commodity analysis system, glass prices showed a weak downward trend this month, with the average market price falling from 16.05 RMB/square meter to 13.88 RMB/square meter, a 13.52% decrease. Glass production capacity operated steadily throughout the month, with little change in overall supply. However, downstream demand was insufficient, resulting in slow shipments and accumulated inventory. End-users showed little enthusiasm for entering the market, and manufacturers showed a weakening mentality, leading to a continuous downward adjustment in glass prices.

Market outlook

The operating rate of soda ash has decreased slightly recently, and the inventory pressure of enterprises has eased, but the overall inventory level in the market remained high. Downstream companies mainly entered the market based on demand. With the arrival of the traditional peak season, demand may be boosted to a certain extent. Due to the supply and demand game in the market, the price of soda ash is expected to fluctuate and weaken in September, depending on the follow-up situation of downstream companies.

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