On August 18th, international crude oil futures rose. The settlement price of the September WTI crude oil futures contract in the United States was $63.42 per barrel, an increase of $0.66 or 1.0%. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures in October was $66.60 per barrel, an increase of $0.75 or 1.1%.

On August 18th, a preliminary investigation showed that US crude oil and gasoline inventories were expected to decrease last week, while distillate inventories may increase. According to the average estimate of the interviewed analysts, as of the week ending August 15th, US crude oil inventories are expected to decline by approximately 1.6 million barrels. It is estimated that the inventory of distillate oil, including diesel and heating oil, increased by about 400,000 barrels last week, while gasoline inventory is expected to decrease by about 1 million barrels.

UBS: Lowering Brent crude oil forecast for the end of 2025 and March 2026 to $62 per barrel, due to increased supply from South America and strong production from sanctioned countries.

Refined oil: China's refined oil exports in July were 5.34 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%; From January to July, refined oil exports were 32.52 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%.

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