Price trend
According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the price of soda ash first fell and then rose in April. At the beginning of the month, the average market price of light soda ash was 1,434 RMB/ton, and at the end of the month, the average market price was around 1,408 RMB/ton. The price decreased by 26 RMB/ton during the month, with an overall decline of 1.81%.
Analysis review
According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the market for soda ash this month first fell and then rose. The price of soda ash continued to decline in the first half of the month, mainly due to the high utilization rate of soda ash production capacity and weak downstream demand. Under the game of supply and demand, soda ash prices continued to decline; At the end of the month, with the release of some equipment maintenance news in the soda ash market in May, the mentality of enterprises was optimistic. In addition, with the follow-up of downstream replenishment before the holiday, the price of soda ash had risen.
As of April 30, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China was around 1,300-1,500 RMB/ton, with a decrease of 30 RMB/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in Central China was around 1,240-1,400 RMB/ton, which was lowered by 60-100 RMB/ton within the month; The mainstream market price of light soda ash in North China was around 1,350-1500 RMB/ton, which was lowered by 70-100 RMB/ton within the month.
On the demand side: According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the glass price trend has been strong this month, with an average market price of 15.25 RMB/square meter at the beginning of the month and 15.58 RMB/square meter at the end of the month, an increase of 2.16%. The production capacity of the glass market has not changed much within the month, with stable spot supply and increased downstream demand. The market trading was good, and there was a significant destocking of glass, resulting in a strong upward trend in prices.
On April 30th, the SunSirs' soda ash to glass commodity price index was 76.94 points, unchanged from the previous day, a decrease of 31.53% from the highest point of 112.37 points during the cycle (October 6, 2023), and an increase of 4.40% from the lowest point of 73.70 points on February 16, 2025. (Note: Cycle refers to January 1, 2012 to present)
Market outlook
According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the trend of soda ash prices was rising. The maintenance of some soda ash plants in May has been beneficial to the market. At the same time, the downstream market was strong and the atmosphere for soda ash transactions was good. It is expected that soda ash prices will be stronger and upward in the later stage. In the long run, downstream demand support is limited, and soda ash prices will rise first and then stabilize, depending on downstream market demand.
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