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SunSirs: Exports Blocked, Chinese Rare Earth Market Continues to Drop

April 13 2020 08:04:40     SunSirs (Linda)

The rare earth index on April 9 was 331 points, which was the same as April 8, a 66.90% decrease from the highest point in the cycle (2011-Dec-06), and a 22.14% increase from the lowest point of 271 points on September 13, 2015. (Note: Period refers to 2011-Dec-01 to present).

The average price of neodymium, dysprosium and praseodymium in rare earth metals were 358,500 yuan / ton, 2,325,000 yuan / ton and 635,000 yuan / ton respectively. In rare earth oxides, the average price of praseodymium neodymium oxide decreased by 1,000 yuan / ton to 259,500 yuan / ton; the average price of dysprosium oxide was 1,785,000 yuan / ton; the average price of praseodymium oxide was 305,000 yuan / ton; the average price of neodymium oxide decreased by 10,00 yuan / ton to 281,000 yuan / ton. In terms of rare earth alloy the price of praseodymium neodymium alloy was 331,500 yuan / ton, and the average price of dysprosium ferroalloy is 1,785,000 yuan / ton.

The rare earth price trend in the rare earth market continued to fall, and the supply of domestic heavy rare earth markets increased. Myanmar unilaterally closed customs clearance ports, but domestic manufacturers continued to resume work, domestic supply increased, and the domestic heavy rare earth price trend continued to fall. Recently, the demand for permanent magnets has declined. The market trend of praseodymium and neodymium products has been slightly lower. The supply on the market is normal. The demand for light rare earth has weakened recently, and prices in some markets have continued to decline. In addition, the recent foreign health incidents have a greater impact, the export volume of rare earth products has fallen sharply, and the price trend of the rare earth market has declined. The price fluctuations in the rare earth market are related to environmental protection inspections nationwide. The production of rare earths is special, especially because some products have radiation hazards, which has made environmental protection regulations more stringent. Under strict environmental protection investigations, manufacturers have reasonably controlled sales, but downstream demand has recently declined and some rare earth prices have fallen.

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology said that by 2025, the sales of new energy vehicles and new vehicles will account for about 25%. Global electrification is entering the acceleration period of high-quality supply-side models. China's double-point policy and European carbon emission requirements have established a long-term development mechanism for new energy vehicles. Driven by national policies, the supply and demand pattern of the rare earth industry is expected to further improve, China's domestic demand has improved, and the price of heavy rare earth in the domestic rare earth market remains high. Recently, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the ‘Notice on Issuing the Total Control Index of Rare Earth Mine Tungsten Ore Mining (First Batch) in 2020’, clarifying the country ’s first batch of rare earth ore (REO) mining total The quantity control index is 66,000 tons, and the tungsten concentrate (tungsten trioxide content 65%) total mining control index is 52,500 tons. National policies are conducive to the balance between supply and demand in the rare earth industry. Recently, the supply of heavy rare earth market has increased, and market prices have dropped slightly.

SunSirs rare earth analysts predict that the recent domestic heavy rare earth market supply is normal, downstream demand has weakened, and the downstream export market is relatively poor. The rare earth industry is not supported by favorable support. It is expected that the price of the rare earth market will still fall slightly in the later period.

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