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SunSirs: Domestic Heavy Rare Earth Rose on February 25

February 26 2020 08:58:53     SunSirs (Linda)

On February 24, the rare earth index was 341, down 1 point from 24th, 65.90% from the highest point in the cycle, 1,000 (December 6, 2011), and 25.83% higher than the lowest point, 271, on September 13, 2015. (Note: cycle refers to December 1, 2011 to now).

The average price of neodymium, dysprosium and praseodymium is 372,500 RMB/ton, 2,325,000 RMB/ton and 645,000 RMB/ton respectively. The average price of praseodymium neodymium oxide in rare earth oxide is 282,500 RMB/ton; the price of dysprosium oxide is increased by 10,000 RMB/ton to 1,815,000 RMB/ton; the average price of praseodymium oxide is 320,000 RMB/ton; the average price of neodymium oxide is 292,500 RMB/ton. The price of praseodymium neodymium alloy in rare earth alloy is 358,000 RMB/ton; the average price of dysprosium ferroalloy rises 15,000 RMB/ton to 1790,000 RMB/ton.

The price trend of heavy and rare earth in the rare earth market is rising, and people in the market are optimistic about the future market. Myanmar unilaterally closed the customs clearance port, reducing domestic imports. In addition, due to the impact of the epidemic recently, some rare earth products have not been fully restored to work. The price supply of middle and heavy rare earth in China is tight, and the price trend of heavy and rare earth in China is rising. However, the light rare earth mining index increased more than before, the market price of light rare earth declined, the on-site merchants had a strong wait-and-see attitude, and the high price transaction was blocked. The price fluctuation of rare earth market is related to the national environmental protection supervision. Rare earth production has particularity, especially some products have radiation hazards, which makes the environmental protection supervision stricter. Under the strict inspection of environmental protection, the manufacturers reasonably controlled the sales. In addition, affected by the epidemic situation, some enterprises have not yet started construction, but the demand in the downstream has not changed much in the near future, and most rare earth prices are stable.

According to the Ministry of industry and information technology and other documents, by 2025, the sales of new energy vehicles will account for about 25%. Global electrification is stepping into the acceleration period of high-quality models at the supply side. China's double point policy and European carbon emission requirements have established a long-term development mechanism for new energy vehicles. Driven by national policies, the supply and demand pattern of rare earth industry is expected to further improve, domestic demand in China has improved, and the price of heavy rare earth in domestic rare earth market remains high.

Rare earth analysts of SunSirs expect that in the near future, the intensity of strict environmental inspection in China will not be reduced. In addition, Myanmar's import is blocked, the supply and demand pattern is improving in a better way, and the transportation is still restricted in the near future, and the market price of rare earth is expected to continue to rise.

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