The weekly export sales data reissued by the US Department of Agriculture shows that as of the week of December 25, 2025, the net sales volume of soybean oil in the United States for the year 2025/26 was 6,238 tons, compared to 49,197 tons last week.

The export sales data of soybean oil in the United States plummeted to 6,238 tons this week, a significant decrease of 87.3% from last week's 49,197 tons, indicating a sharp decline in international demand. This poses a significant negative impact on spot prices, as reduced exports will lead to oversupply and increased pressure on inventory accumulation, resulting in downward pressure on spot prices. Combined with the latest market trend of soybean oil futures (such as the settlement price of contract 2605 on Dalian Commodity Exchange at 7,856 RMB/ton, down 10 points), the expectation of weak demand will strengthen the downward trend of futures, and the risk of short-term price decline will significantly increase.

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