The latest July 2025 report released by ANRPC predicts a slight decrease of 0.1% in global natural rubber production to 1.328 million tons in July, an increase of 7.9% compared to the previous month; The consumption of Tianjian is expected to decrease by 4.1% to 1.246 million tons, a decrease of 0.3% compared to last month. In the first seven months, the global cumulative production of natural rubber is expected to increase by 0.1% to 7.477 million tons, while the cumulative consumption will decrease by 0.6% to 8.888 million tons.
The global production of natural rubber is expected to increase by 0.5% year-on-year to 14.892 million tons in 2025. Among them, Thailand increased by 1.2%, Indonesia decreased by 9.8%, China increased by 6%, India increased by 5.6%, Vietnam decreased by 1.3%, Malaysia decreased by 4.2%, Cambodia increased by 5.6%, Myanmar increased by 5.3%, and other countries increased by 3.5%.
The global consumption of natural rubber is expected to increase by 1.3% year-on-year to 15.565 million tons in 2025. Among them, China increased by 2.5%, India increased by 3.4%, Thailand increased by 6.1%, Indonesia decreased by 7%, Malaysia increased by 2.6%, Vietnam increased by 1.5%, Sri Lanka increased by 6.7%, Cambodia increased significantly by 110.3%, and other countries decreased by 3.5%.
The report points out that in July, natural rubber prices showed a fluctuating trend due to various factors such as trade tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and adverse weather conditions affecting production. After experiencing a period of low demand and abundant supply, concerns about supply disruptions have led to an increase in procurement activities.
The expected growth of global demand in 2025 comes at a time when people are increasingly concerned about a global economic slowdown, driven by the complexity of US tariff policies and the expected decline in demand growth. This year is expected to be one of the slowest years of global economic expansion since the pandemic, mainly due to the chain reaction of the United States raising tariffs.
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