According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the domestic natural rubber spot market has been fluctuating and slightly rising recently (6.11-6.18). As of June 18th, the spot rubber market in China was around 13,858 RMB/ton, an increase of 0.73% from 13,758 RMB/ton on the 11th. There is a slight fluctuation in downstream tire production, which provides some rigid support for rubber; The raw material prices have slightly increased, and the cost of Tianjian continues to be supported. The cost and demand support have driven the recent slight increase in natural rubber prices. As of June 18th, the mainstream price for 23 years of Guangken, Baodao, and Haibao latex in Qingdao is 13,800-14,100 RMB/ton. However, judging from the prices of natural rubber raw materials and port inventory, there is still some pressure on the natural rubber market.

As of June 18th, the price of Thai glue was 57.50 baht/kg, an increase of 1.77% from 56.50 baht/kg on June 11th. At present, the Yunnan production area in China has entered the cutting stage. Although Thailand and Hainan have recently experienced increased precipitation and high prices, the expected increase in global supply in the later stage is not reduced, and the price of natural rubber raw materials is expected to continue to decline in the later stage.

Recently (6.11-6.18), natural rubber inventories have slightly increased, which has a bearish impact on the natural rubber market. As of June 15, 2025, the total inventory of Tianjiao bonded and general trade in Qingdao area was 606,900 tons, an increase of 0.14 million tons or 0.23% compared to the previous period.

Recently (6.11-6.18), there have been slight fluctuations in downstream tire production, providing essential support for the natural rubber market. As of June 15th, the construction of semi steel tires by domestic tire companies has slightly increased to around 78%; The production of all steel tires by tire companies in Shandong Province has slightly decreased to around 61%.

As domestic and international raw material prices stabilize at high levels and expectations continue to decline in the later stage, downstream production fluctuates slightly, providing support for natural rubber demand, and Tianjin Rubber Port inventory remains high; Overall, it is expected that the natural rubber market will mainly fluctuate within a certain range in the later stage.

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