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SunSirs: Angelica is Hot again, Rising 9.82% Compared to the End of Last Month

August 18 2021 08:37:02     SunSirs (Linda)

1. Price trend

The price of Angelica has soared again this month. The current price of Angelica in Gansu is 35-38 yuan/kg, which is 9.82% higher than the end of last month.

Bozhou Market: Driven by the rising price of production area, the supply of angelica in the market has turned smoothly, and the market has risen steadily. The price of bulk goods is 36-38 yuan, and the price of all-gui film is 42-45 yuan. Due to the lack of stock in the hands of the merchants, it is temporarily reluctant to sell Strong psychological.

Anguo market: Angelica, the source of goods in the production area has been trading smoothly recently, and the market has also risen steadily. The current market price of bulk goods is 36-37 yuan, and the price of all-gui film is between 42-45 yuan. The market outlook is still difficult to calm.

Yulin Market: Angelica, the recent market supply moves faster, the inventory is well digested, and the market continues to rise. The price of the bulk goods is between 37-38 yuan, and the piece is 44-45 yuan. Merchants pay more attention to it, and the market outlook is worth paying attention to.

Minxian County, Gansu: Angelica is available at the origin. Recently, merchants have bought the goods. The supply is okay. The price is strong. The bulk price is 33-34 yuan, the middle section is 35-38 yuan, and the large section is 40-45 yuan.

Danggui has been squeezed and speculated since the new production last year. However, due to the difficulty in passing the pesticide residue test, the popularity of Angelica was quickly suppressed, and the market was silent for a period of time. However, people who buy goods often don't take too much into account. The problem of pesticide residues has not been able to stop the temptation of low prices and reduced production of angelica. With more and more funds involved, the market for angelica has soared. At present, the price of Angelica sinensis is about 33 yuan, which is a 65% increase from last year's lowest level of about 20 yuan.

2. Analysis of influencing factors

Angelica is one of the three major varieties of authentic medicinal materials in Northwest China. It is also one of the bulk Chinese medicinal materials and the homologous varieties of medicine and food with a large range of output, consumption and use in the country. According to the report, it is widely used in Chinese herbal medicines, Chinese patent medicines, health products, food additives, spices and seasonings, animal feed additives, exports and other fields.

Angelica production has decreased significantly

The growth of Angelica has higher requirements on altitude, temperature and humidity, and climatic conditions. Compared with most other varieties, it has the characteristics of more concentrated production areas and significant natural geographical and climatic characteristics.

It is mainly produced in the southeastern part of Gansu Province. In addition, northwestern Yunnan, western Sichuan and other places are also its traditional production areas. In the past ten years, driven by the introduction, expansion and economic benefits, the Hehuang Valley in Qinghai Province with Xining as the center has been It has developed into the second largest producing area after Gansu, and its influence on the overall market has played a pivotal role. The secondary production areas of Yunnan and Sichuan have continued to shrink in recent years, which has had little impact on the overall market.

The planting area of ​​Angelica in 2020 will be reduced by about one-third compared with the previous year. Among them, the planting area in Qinghai production area will be greatly reduced, reaching 40%-50%. The main reasons are: Angelica market continued to be sluggish in the past few years, and the price of fresh products was low (about 6.2 yuan/kg in 2018, about 4.8-5.3 yuan/kg in 2019, and about 5.8-6 yuan/kg in 2020), As a result, the enthusiasm of medicinal farmers in planting angelica is low, and medicinal farmers in Gansu production areas have switched to other medicinal materials such as Astragalus and Codonopsis, which have reduced the planting area of ​​angelica on limited land. Since 2020, the government has encouraged farmers in Qinghai production areas. Planting food crops and expanding food planting subsidies, so farmers have reduced the planting of medicinal materials.

In recent years, the northwestern region has become wetter and waterlogging has become more frequent. Especially in the summer and autumn of 2020, the continuous rainy and humid climate and heavy rain and waterlogging disasters have affected the field growth of Angelica to a considerable extent, causing widespread problems such as lengthening, dead seedlings, rotten seedlings, and pests, which are very serious in some areas. Seriously, this has significantly reduced the yield per mu, and the reduction in yield per mu is expected to be 20%-30%.

In the fact that both the area and the yield per mu have been reduced, the total output of Angelica in 2020 will be significantly lower than the previous year, and it is estimated that it will be 35%-45% less than in 2019.

Angelica is still at a low price

Angelica's market has undergone two significant changes in the past 10 years, in 2013 and 2016. Due to natural disasters such as mudslides and frost in 2012, the seedling production was severely reduced that year; the dry weather in the spring of 2013 reduced the expected planting area this year, which was beneficial to release, and stimulated the price to rise from about 22 yuan to a maximum of about 50 yuan.

In the last five years, the highest market change was in 2016. Due to the impact of the climate in 2015, the production of angelica was reduced. Since the second half of 2015, the production of angelica has been reduced and the price has continued to rise. In 2016, as the market launched Due to the decrease in the quantity and the influence of the autumn drought, the price rose to around 45 yuan at the highest.

Since 2017, the price of angelica has been declining, and it has been declining to around 18-20 yuan in mid-2020, which is also the lowest price in history in the past 10 years.

By comparing historical market analysis, we can see that the current price of Angelica is still not high. Although it has risen, it is still at a low price, which is within the range of reasonable return of value.

Pesticide residue testing is not easy to pass

Pesticide residues: 33 kinds of national pesticide residues, these 33 kinds of pesticides are the types banned by the country. For those plots in the old production areas that have been planted for many years, the pesticide residues of the planted medicinal materials will basically exceed the standard due to the pesticide residues all the year round.

As a new production area, "Qinghai Province," the angelica planted is relatively better, but it is very unstable, and even failed to pass the test after mining and processing the finished product. And Angelica itself, as a large variety, has a huge market usage and a very limited yield per mu; large quantities of goods are drawn to the market, "a mix of fish and dragons", and the mixture of qualified and unqualified sources will become all unqualified.

In terms of the current market situation, according to the feedback from the place of origin, the qualified rate of pesticide residues in Angelica is less than 10%; and most of the so-called qualified sources are traders who try their luck, and there is no guarantee that they are 100% qualified. Once a certain batch is qualified, it is reluctant to sell it immediately; the market for qualified sources is more than 30% higher than that of unqualified sources, and mass supply of qualified sources cannot be guaranteed.

Although the problem of pesticide residues in Angelica has not been solved, due to the very few qualified sources of pesticide residues in the market, it is a drop in the bucket for such a large amount of Angelica, and the dismal sales of Angelica are gradually returning to the right track.

3. Market outlook

In general, the problem of unqualified pesticides has not been able to stop the temptation of low prices and reduced production of angelica; with more and more funds involved, the market for angelica has soared, and angelica may still rise slightly in the short term.

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