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SunSirs: Blocked Logistics and Transportation Price of Ammonium Sulfate Fell Down (February 3-13)

February 14 2020 10:30:55     SunSirs (John)

Price trend

According to the monitoring data of SunSirs, the average ex factory price of ammonium sulphate in China was 566 RMB/ton on February 3, and 563 RMB/ton on February 13, with a price drop of 0.59%. On February 13, the ammonium sulfate commodity index was 47.14, unchanged from the previous day, down 55.65% from 106.28 (2012-05-24), the highest point in the cycle, and up 28.62% from 36.65, the lowest point on June 23, 2014. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)


Analysis review   

Product: After the Spring Festival, the market of ammonium sulfate is light. The main quotation of ammonium sulfate in Central China is about 450-650 RMB/ton, that in Henan is 420-630 RMB/ton, that in Hebei is 480-700 RMB/ton, that in East China is 450-650 RMB/ton, that in North China is 420-650 RMB/ton, and that in Northeast China is 450-650 RMB/ton.

Industry chain: Due to the impact of the epidemic, some enterprises in some areas have not yet started work, and the time for resumption of work is to be determined. Most enterprises have inventory. Raw material market rose steadily. The raw material cost of downstream compound fertilizer enterprises increased, but the logistics transportation was blocked. The stock pressure of ammonium sulfate enterprises increased.

Industry: According to the price monitoring of SunSirs, there were 5 kinds of commodities in the chemical sector that have risen in the chemical industry sector in the 05th week of 2020 (2.3-2.7). The top 3 commodities were isopropyl alcohol (1.47%), 1,4-butanediol (0.82%), butanone (0.76%). There were a total of 25 kinds of goods that fell month-on-month, and 3 kinds of goods that fell by more than 5%, accounting for 3.5% of the number of monitored products in this sector; the top 3 products were OX (-7.94%), PX (-6.67%) , Ethylene glycol (-6.47%). This week the average rise or fall is -0.64%.


Market outlook

Analysts of ammonium sulphate of SunSirs believe that the current market of ammonium sulphate is not good due to logistics and transportation problems. The price of coking grade ammonium sulfate decreased slightly, and its internal grade ammonium sulfate operated stably. It is expected that the price of ammonium sulfate will fluctuate slightly in the later period, and it is suggested to pay attention to the change of demand.


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