SunSirs: China Palm Oil Market Oscillates and Falls in December

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the domestic palm oil market in December mainly fluctuated weakly, with an overall decline of nearly 2%. On December 1st, the average market price of palm oil was 8,690 RMB/ton, and on December 29th, the average market price of palm oil was 8,530 RMB/ton, a decrease of 1.84%.

Since December, the domestic palm oil market has continued to fluctuate and decline, with the average market price dropping from 8,700 RMB/ton to 8,300 RMB/ton, with a maximum decline of over 4%. At the end of the month, supported by bullish factors, the market has rebounded gradually. Due to the large decline in the early stage, it rebounded to around 8,500 RMB/ton in the later stage, with the rebound amplitude not being as large as the decline, and the overall trend has remained downward.

The main factors affecting the rise and fall of palm oil in December: bullish factors: Malaysia's palm oil production is in a period of reduced production in the external market. Among them, from December 1st to 25th, 2025, the palm oil production in South Malaysia decreased by 9.12% compared to the previous period. Supply is tightening, boosting the futures market.

Negative factors: Domestic palm oil port inventories remain high, at around 750,000 tons. The rigid demand for palm oil terminals is average, leading to a decline in market trading volume.

The palm oil analyst from SunSirs believes that as the end of the year approaches and holiday oil demand increases, the domestic palm oil market will continue to rise in January, with the main trend being continued upward.

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