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SunSirs: Increased Production, China Sugar Prices are Weak

July 21 2025 11:06:52     SunSirs (Selena)

According to the monitoring of the commodity market analysis system of SunSirs, the average price of first grade white sugar in China was 6,050 RMB/ton at the beginning of the week, and 6,043 RMB/ton at the end of the week, with a price drop of 0.11%.

Domestically, some sugar companies in Guangxi have already cleared their inventory and ended the crushing season for sales. During the 2024/25 crushing season, Guangxi produced 6.465 million tons of sugar, an increase of 283,600 tons or 4.59% year-on-year. In the third quarter, there was a concentrated increase in the supply of processed sugar, and there is still pressure to deplete Yunnan and sugar beet sugar. It is expected that there will still be significant upward pressure on domestic sugar prices in the third quarter.

In terms of raw sugar, Brazil's expected increase in production has been reflected in the market. Currently, inventory is low, and the later supply tolerance rate is low. The short-term ethanol base still provides effective support for raw sugar. With the widening price difference of raw sugar, international market demand may increase, and the remaining trade flow may gradually decrease. There may be a trade flow gap in the fourth quarter.

The domestic production of white sugar has increased, and the market is still in the stage of destocking. It is expected that the price of white sugar will mainly fluctuate and weaken in the short term.

 

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