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SunSirs: Poor Demand, Metal Silicon Market Remains in a State of Continuous Decline (12.6-12.12)
December 13 2021 08:36:01SunSirs(Linda)

441# Silicon Price Trend

The price range of #441 silicon metal in Huangpu Port area is 21300-21800 yuan/ton, the average price is 21550 yuan/ton; the price range of #441 metal silicon in Tianjin Port area is 21500-22000 yuan/ton, the average price is 21750 yuan/ton; Kunming area# The price range of 441 silicon metal is 21000-21500/ton, the average price is 21250 yuan/ton; the price range of #441 silicon metal in Sichuan is 21200-21500 yuan/ton, the average price is 21350 yuan/ton; the price range of Shanghai #441 silicon metal is 24000 -25500 yuan/ton, the average price is 34750 yuan/ton.

The price of silicon metal dropped further last week. It is understood that the shipment of silicon metal is poor and the market trading atmosphere is light. The upstream and downstream are in a state of gaming. At the beginning of the week, the silicon price was weak and stable. Although the market atmosphere was weak, the low cost was in a favorable position. The downstream demand in Zhouwei is weak, and the upstream inventory is backlogged. In order to stimulate transactions, they are sold at a lower price.

Downstream market situation

The domestic polysilicon market dropped slightly, with a weekly drop of 0.88%. The current price of polysilicon materials is in the range of 165,000 to 210,000 yuan/ton, and the price of monocrystalline materials is in the range of 25.8-26.9 million yuan/ton; the price of aluminum alloy ADC12 remains stable and mainstream The price is 19,000 yuan/ton; the average price of silicone DMC market quotation is 26,480 yuan/ton. Compared with the price on December 5 (reference price of 30,600 yuan/ton), the average price is lowered by 4120 yuan/ton, a decrease of 13.46%.

The downstream performance of polysilicon was weak. The previous price continued to run at a high level, and the shipment speed of manufacturers slowed down, which led to the accumulation of warehouses. In December, manufacturers were under pressure to cut prices and de-warehouses. The market has peaked and loosened; the aluminum processing industry has reduced production by a large margin, and demand has fallen; organic silicon companies have begun to overhaul one after another, and the demand for chemical-grade industrial silicon has weakened.

Silicon Market Supply Status

In November, China's industrial silicon production was 300,000 tons, an increase of 10.1% month-on-month and a year-on-year increase of 29.5%; in November, domestic inventories reached 69,300 tons, and domestic metal silicon inventories began to increase in July. The electricity prices in Yunnan and Sichuan, which the market is concerned about, have generally increased during the dry season. At this stage, silicon plants have not seen large-scale shutdowns and production reductions. In addition, coal prices have shown signs of rebound this week. The advantages of electricity prices in non-main production areas have been replaced, cost pressures have increased, and manufacturers have shut down hospitals. It is expected to increase production in the southwest region in late December.

Outlook forecast

The silicon metal market continues to maintain a weak atmosphere. The demand side purchases are mainly cautious and wait-and-see. The price of raw coal is rising, and cost pressures are increasing day by day. The policy of dual control of downstream energy consumption still has a certain impact on the aluminum industry and the continuous maintenance of organic silicon plants. The silicon metal market is expected to return to a state of balance between supply and demand. In the short term, the price of silicon metal will be mainly weakened, but the room for further decline will be narrowed.

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