Price trend
According to the business data analysis system of SunSirs, the polyester staple fiber market declined last week (January 12-17). As of January 17, the average domestic market price of polyester staple fiber (1.4D*38mm) was 6,486 RMB/ton, a decrease of 0.8% compared to the beginning of the week.
Market Analysis
Geopolitical risk premiums subsided, coupled with inventory pressure, causing international crude oil prices to plummet, ending a five-day winning streak. On January 15th, the settlement price of the March contract for US WTI crude oil futures was $59.08 per barrel, a decrease of $2.80 or 4.5%. The settlement price of the March contract for Brent crude oil futures was $63.76 per barrel, a decrease of $2.76 or 4.1%.
Since January, the domestic PTA market has been undergoing a weak adjustment. As of January 17th, the spot price of PTA in East China was 5,019 RMB/ton, a decrease of 2.02% compared to the beginning of the week. Recently, there were both restarts and maintenance shutdowns of PTA plants. Dushan Energy's 3 million-ton plant restarted on January 14th, Yisheng New Materials' 3.6 million-ton plant shut down on January 14th, and Zhuhai BP's 1.25 million-ton plant shut down on January 16th. Overall operating rates had decreased to around 75%.
Raw material support had weakened, and downstream yarn factories were purchasing on demand, mainly maintaining stable prices for their shipments. The overall new order situation in the downstream weaving sector remained weak. At the beginning of the month, driven by rising crude oil and raw material costs, some customers with low inventory or those intending to stock up on raw materials after the Lunar New Year made purchases. Overall shipments were average, and some yarn factories reported insufficient orders and planned to gradually suspend operations and take holidays at the end of the month.
Market Outlook:
According to analysts at SunSirs, the main raw material PTA experienced a slight decline, leading to weaker cost support; there are no planned adjustments to polyester staple fiber production facilities next week, so production is expected to remain stable; due to the off-season, textile companies are seeing fewer orders and reduced production activity, resulting in decreased demand for polyester staple fiber. Therefore, the market price of polyester staple fiber is expected to decline in the short term.
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