According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, from January 19th to 23rd, MTBE prices rose from 4,776 RMB/ton to 4,806 RMB/ton, with a price increase of 0.63% during the period, a month on month decrease of 2.00%, and a year-on-year decrease of 18.18%. The domestic MTBE market continues its narrow consolidation pattern. At the beginning of the week, the trading atmosphere in the market was slightly light, and prices were under pressure and slightly declined. With the price dropping to a relatively low level, the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream operators gradually rebounded. In addition, there were signs of improvement in gasoline terminal consumption, which drove MTBE manufacturers to slightly increase their quotes and boosted market sentiment.
In terms of cost and crude oil, the rise in international oil prices is mainly due to the fact that some oil fields in Kazakhstan have not yet resumed production, Venezuela's crude oil exports are lower than expected, and the instability of the geopolitical situation still exists, all of which provide support for oil prices. As of January 22, the settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for the April contract was $63.34 per barrel.
In terms of demand and downstream gasoline, after a significant cooling in the northern region, the frequency of private car travel among the public has increased, and retail gas station shipments have been smooth. The MTBE demand side is influenced by favorable factors.
Supply side: No new start-up or shutdown devices have been added, and resource supply remains stable. The impact of MTBE supply is mixed.
As of the close on January 22, the closing price of the Asian MTBE market has increased by $3.84/ton compared to the previous trading day, with FOB Singapore closing at $640.86-642.86/ton. The closing price of the European MTBE market decreased by $6.75/ton compared to the previous trading day, and FOB ARA closed at $768.74-769.24/ton. The closing price of the MTBE market in the United States decreased by $7.16 per ton compared to the previous trading day, and the FOB Gulf offshore price closed at $671.91-672.27 per ton (189.72-189.82 cents per gallon).
In the future, it is predicted that raw material prices will continue to operate at a high level, and cost pressure still exists. With the recovery of international prices, new orders are still relatively active, which provides certain support for the mentality of domestic industry players. MTBE analysts from SunSirs believe that the MTBE market may continue to follow a range consolidation pattern, and it is still necessary to observe the situation of crude oil and demand follow-up.
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