The palm oil market is supported by favorable fundamentals. One reason is that the market has long expected Indonesia to maintain its B40 policy in 2026, and the impact of changes in Indonesia's firewood policy is limited. Secondly, Malaysian palm oil has entered a production reduction cycle, coupled with a rebound in demand from India in January, which has supported prices with favorable fundamentals. Thirdly, market expectations for improved demand for biofuels in the United States, coupled with geopolitical tensions and rising crude oil prices, have boosted international vegetable oil market prices.
The analysis of the article shows that the spot price of palm oil is supported by multiple favorable factors: firstly, Indonesia maintains stable B40 policy expectations, reduces policy uncertainty, and boosts market sentiment; Secondly, Malaysian palm oil has entered a production reduction cycle, coupled with the rebound in demand from India in January, which has improved the supply and demand fundamentals and supported price increases; Thirdly, the expected improvement in demand for biofuels in the United States, coupled with geopolitical tensions and rising crude oil prices, has boosted the overall atmosphere of the international vegetable oil market. These factors combined are expected to drive a moderate increase in palm oil spot prices, but the impact has not yet reached a significant positive level, as the market has already digested some of the positive factors in advance.
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