SunSirs: Analysis of the Impact of the Sudden Decline in EU Rapeseed Imports
December 12 2025 15:54:42 SunSirs (Selena)
According to EU data, the import volume of rapeseed in the EU has decreased by 40% year-on-year since 2025/26, with a significant decrease in the share of imports from Australia and Ukraine. As of December 7, 2025, Ukraine has become the top supplier of rapeseed to the European Union, with a quantity of 1.024 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 45.3%, and its share has decreased from 67.7% to 61.3%.
The import volume of EU rapeseed in 2025/26 decreased by 40% year-on-year, with Ukraine's supply decreasing by 45.3% and its share dropping from 67.7% to 61.3%, indicating a significant reduction in supply. This will push up the spot price of rapeseed, which is a significant benefit due to tight supply and relatively stable demand.
Rapeseed, as the main raw material for rapeseed meal, a significant decrease in its import volume will lead to limited production and reduced supply of rapeseed meal. Combined with stable demand, spot prices are facing upward pressure, which constitutes a significant positive change.
The reduction in rapeseed supply directly affects the production cost and yield of rapeseed oil, and a 40% decrease in import volume means a contraction in supply. In the case of unchanged demand, spot prices will be supported and rise, which is a significant positive impact.
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