SunSirs: The Performance of Demand Side Was Mediocre,Viscose Staple Fiber Was Weakly Consolidating in October

Price trend:

In October 2025, the textile industry failed to deliver the expected "golden October," with demand for viscose staple fiber remaining flat, primarily driven by order fulfillment. The market continued its weak consolidation, with prices generally stable. As of October 31, the average domestic viscose staple fiber market price was 13,120 RMB/ton, unchanged from the same period last month. The market for the main raw material, dissolving pulp, remained stable, with limited cost support. Viscose staple fiber manufacturers had low finished product inventories and no significant inventory pressure. Downstream rayon yarn manufacturers primarily fulfilled previous orders, resulting in a weak but stable overall market turnover, with sales proceeding only as needed.

According to data from the SunSirs' commodity market analysis system, in October 2025, the price of viscose staple fiber remained weak and stable. As of October 31, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 13,120 RMB/ton, unchanged from the previous period. However, due to weak demand, actual transaction prices were generally lower than quoted prices. On October 31, mainstream quotes in Shandong Province were concentrated in the range of 13,000-13,100 RMB/ton, with actual transactions mostly occurring at 12,850-13,000 RMB/ton.

Insufficient support from raw material costs

Prices of dissolving pulp, the raw material for viscose staple fiber, remained weak and stable at low levels, offering limited cost support. At the end of October, the price of domestic dissolving pulp was approximately RMB 6,700/ton, while the price of imported hardwood pulp was USD 800/ton and softwood pulp was USD 870/ton, with overall fluctuations being relatively small. Prices of auxiliary materials such as sulfuric acid and liquid caustic soda saw narrow adjustments, but failed to provide effective support.

Supply and demand

The industry's daily operating rate remained around 75%, and manufacturers' inventory levels were low, but some companies adjusted their production loads, leading to a slight decrease in supply. The downstream rayon yarn market failed to deliver the expected strong performance of October, with fabric mills' finished product inventories rising and purchasing enthusiasm declining. Only vortex spinning export orders were slightly better, with overall demand remaining weak. As of October 31st, the price of ring-spun rayon yarn R30S in Jiangsu was around 17,200 RMB/ton, and the price of ring-spun rayon yarn R40S was around 18,300 RMB/ton, indicating sluggish transaction volume in the rayon yarn market.

Market Forecast:

On the raw material side: the market for dissolving pulp (the main raw material) and sulfuric acid (an auxiliary raw material) is expected to remain largely stable, while the market for liquid caustic soda may see a slight decline. Therefore, the price of viscose staple fiber raw materials is expected to remain weak in the short term, with insufficient support from the cost side.

Supply and demand: The operating rate of viscose staple fiber plants is expected to remain relatively stable, and some manufacturers have low inventory levels. Therefore, the supply side of the viscose staple fiber market is expected to be relatively strong in the short term. However, demand in the end market has improved, with purchases mainly made on an as-needed basis. It is expected that the demand-side driving force for the viscose staple fiber market will be limited in the short term.

Overall, the market for dissolving pulp, the main raw material, is likely to remain weak and stagnant, with a lack of driving forces on both the supply and demand sides. Overall supply is ample, manufacturers' inventories are low, and downstream yarn mills are mainly signing orders and purchasing on an as-needed basis. Given the mixed market news, viscose staple fiber manufacturers are likely to maintain their previous quotations. Therefore, analysts at SunSirs predict that the domestic viscose staple fiber market will remain largely stable with minor fluctuations in November, with prices expected to be between 13,000-13,200 RMB/ton (acceptance).

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