SunSirs: The Soda Ash Market First Fell and Then Rose Last Week

Price trend

According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the price trend of soda ash first fell and then rose last week. As of July 21, the average market price of soda ash was 1,166 RMB/ton, a decrease of 8 RMB/ton compared to the soda ash price of 1,174 RMB/ton on July 14, a decrease of 0.68%..

Analysis review

The soda ash market was fluctuating recently. In the early stage, due to the recovery of some maintenance devices on the supply side, market supply increased, and business confidence was insufficient. In addition, downstream production decreased, resulting in weak demand for soda ash and a weak downward shift in the focus of soda ash transactions; The guidance of later policy messages had driven the main futures contracts to fluctuate upwards, while downstream purchases had increased. Driven by market sentiment, the price of soda ash had slightly rebounded. On July 21st, the price of light soda ash in East China was raised by 20 RMB/ton, with a price range of 1,100-1,200 RMB/ton; Light soda ash in Central China was raised by 40 RMB/ton, with a price range of 1,140-1,250 RMB/ton.

According to the price monitoring of SunSirs, in the 28th week of 2025 (7.14-7.18), there were 1 commodity that rose, 3 commodities that fell, and 2 commodities with zero rise and fall in the chlor alkali industry price list. The main commodities that rose were: caustic soda (0.23%); The main commodities experiencing a decline were: light soda ash (-1.36%), baking soda (-1.29%), and PVC (-0.17%). The average increase or decrease this week was -0.43%.

According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the downstream glass market had slightly increased. From July 14th to 21st, the price of glass increased from 14.10 RMB/square meter to 14.68 RMB/square meter, an increase of 4.11%. Some production lines in the glass market were still undergoing cold repairs, and the overall operating rate had not changed much. However, downstream demand had increased, and glass inventory had been significantly reduced, resulting in a strong upward trend in price.

Future outlook:

As of July 21st, the price trend of soda ash had increased, and the mentality of industry players had risen. With the boost of policy news, downstream demand had also improved. However, the overall supply and demand were still weak, which might have a certain degree of suppression on the increase of soda ash prices. It is expected that the soda ash market will fluctuate in the later stage, and prices may rise slightly. Please pay attention to downstream demand for follow-up.

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