El papel corrugado de China se mantiene estable con una tendencia alcista, pero puede haber un riesgo de disminución a corto plazo

According to the monitoring of the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the price of corrugated paper has remained stable with slight fluctuations this week, with a slight increase in price. On December 11, 2025, the average ex factory price of 140g corrugated paper was 3,240 RMB/ton, an increase of 0.31% compared to the average price on December 7.

In terms of upstream raw materials, the decline in paper prices in Zhejiang region has widened this week, and paper prices in other regions of China have also slightly decreased. On December 11, 2025, the average purchase price of A-grade waste yellow cardboard in Zhejiang Province was 1968 RMB/ton, a decrease of 1.5% compared to the average price on December 7. Against the backdrop of a slowdown in finished paper sales this week, some paper mills have proactively lowered their purchase prices for waste paper to avoid the risks posed by high priced raw materials. In addition, with the active shipment of packaging stations and the slowdown in the shipment of raw paper from paper mills, the atmosphere of paper mills towards waste paper may continue to rise.

En el lado de la oferta: Recientemente, el inventario de las fábricas de papel corrugado ha seguido aumentando, y la tasa de crecimiento se ha expandido. Sin embargo, la capacidad de presión de los almacenes de pequeñas y medianas empresas es débil, y la presión del inventario es alta, lo que hace que los ajustes de precios sean más flexibles. Sin embargo, las fábricas de papel a gran escala todavía tienen planes de aumentar los precios a corto plazo, y se continúan emitiendo cartas de aumento de precios, lo que respalda temporalmente el precio actual. El precio del papel ondulado es estable y en aumento.

On the demand side: Currently, downstream packaging companies have limited orders, and some paper mills mainly consume raw paper inventory. The market trading atmosphere is weak, and paper mill shipments have slowed down. Overall inventory will continue to increase. Although the prices of large-scale paper mills are relatively firm, the preferential actions of small mills have a significant impact on market sentiment, increasing the difficulty of later upward trends.

El analista de papel de SunSirs cree que el inventario de fábricas de papel en el lado de la oferta está aumentando, pero la demanda de las fábricas de envasado aguas abajo es débil. Las fábricas de papel a gran escala continúan implementando la política al alza, mientras que las fábricas pequeñas ajustan de forma flexible los precios para aflojarlos. El mercado se encuentra en un estado de juego en muchos aspectos. El precio del papel de desecho de materia prima ha disminuido ligeramente, y el apoyo a los costos se ha debilitado. Se espera que pueda haber un riesgo de disminución a corto plazo en los precios del papel corrugado.

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