The petrochemical industry serves as a vital foundation and pillar of the national economy, playing a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth and ensuring energy security and the integrity of industrial chains and supply chains. To strengthen industry expectation guidance and self-regulation, the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation (CPCIF), in collaboration with multiple professional associations and consulting institutions, conducted a comprehensive analysis of key chemical products' production capacity, output, consumption, imports/exports, and future five-year supply-demand trends. This effort culminated in the release of the 2025 Supply-Exceeding-Demand Risk Product List.
High-Risk Products (12):
Propylene oxide
Epoxychloropropane
Acrylonitrile
Polyvinyl chloride
Chlorinated paraffin
Polysiloxane
Acrylonitrile-butadiene-styrene terpolymer (ABS)
Polybutylene Adipate Terephthalate (PBAT)
Polyol
1,4-Butanediol (BDO)
Nylon 66 (PA66)
Vinyl Acetate
Moderate-Risk Products (3):
Polypropylene
Soda Ash
Titanium Dioxide
Notably, China's epoxy resin industry chain also faces significant capacity pressures. According to ACMI Epoxy Resin Institute statistics, China's current epoxy resin production capacity has approached 4 million tons, with an additional 3 million tons under construction. Supporting amine curing agent capacity stands at nearly 2.5 million tons, with over 1 million tons under construction, indicating persistently mounting supply-demand pressures in the sector.
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