According to customs data, in December 2025, China's total imports of polyester yarn amounted to 217.85 tons, an increase of 74.84 tons compared to the previous month, representing a month-on-month increase of 52.33%, and an increase of 130.38 tons compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year increase of 149.05%. Cumulative imports from January to December 2025 totaled 2062.75 tons. In December 2025, China's total exports of polyester yarn amounted to 39,248.65 tons, an increase of 2,608.59 tons compared to the previous month, representing a month-on-month decrease of 6.23%.
Analysis
The significant increase in imported polyester yarn (up 52.33% month-on-month and 149.05% year-on-year) indicates domestic oversupply or insufficient demand. The 6.23% month-on-month decline in exports shows weakening international demand. These factors combined are putting pressure on spot prices for polyester yarn. With increased supply and weak demand, significant downward price pressure is expected in the short term.
As an upstream raw material for polyester yarn, weak downstream demand for polyester yarn may reduce the demand for polyester staple fiber, putting pressure on spot prices. Combined with futures data (such as the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange 2610 contract closing at 6,640 RMB/ton, up 22 yuan, but with low trading volume), the weak fundamentals suggest a downside risk for future futures prices. Therefore, the short-term price outlook is expected to be neutral to bearish.
As an integrated internet platform providing benchmark prices, on January 22nd, the benchmark price for 32S polyester yarn, according to SunSirs, was 11,200.00 RMB/ton, unchanged from the beginning of the month.
Application of SunSirs Benchmark Pricing:
Traders can price spot and contract transactions based on the pricing principle of agreed markup and pricing formula (Transaction price=SunSirs price + Markup).
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