Price trend

According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the price trend of soda ash in December showed an initial increase followed by a decrease. At the beginning of the month, the average market price of light soda ash was 1,252 RMB/ton, while at the end of the month, the average market price was around 1,250 RMB/ton. The overall price decreased by 2 RMB/ton during the month, a drop of 0.16%.

Market Analysis

According to the commodity analysis system of SunSirs, the soda ash market fluctuated in November. On the supply side, some companies reduced their plant operating rates, leading to a slight decrease in production during the month. Total soda ash inventories decreased, and most manufacturers maintained firm pricing. Regarding demand, the weak and declining glass market continued to dampen demand for soda ash, resulting in a sluggish trading atmosphere and a bearish market sentiment. Consequently, soda ash prices trended downwards during the month.

As of December 31, 2025, the mainstream market price of light soda ash in East China was approximately 1,140-1,600 RMB/ton, a decrease of 40 RMB/ton compared to the previous month; the mainstream price in Central China was approximately 1,140-1,220 RMB/ton, an increase of 30 RMB/ton compared to the previous month; and the mainstream price in North China was approximately 1,250-1,280 RMB/ton, an increase of 10 RMB/ton compared to the previous month.

Demand-side analysis: According to SunSirs' commodity analysis system, glass prices continued to fall this month. The average market price of glass decreased from 13.88 RMB/square meter to 12.75 RMB/square meter, a total decrease of 8.14%. Glass production levels remained relatively stable during the month, but downstream orders were generally weak, resulting in sluggish overall shipments. Enterprise inventories continued to accumulate, and destocking efforts were limited, leading to a weak and declining trend in glass prices.

Market Outlook

With the resumption of operations at soda ash production facilities after maintenance, the operating rate is expected to increase, leading to greater supply-side pressure. Downstream consumers are mainly relying on existing inventory, providing only limited support for soda ash prices. The oversupply situation in the market is unlikely to improve in the short term. Therefore, the soda ash market is expected to remain consolidate weakly in the near future, with the specific trend depending on downstream demand.

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