Last week (October 13-19, 2025), the execution of orders was the main focus, the viscose staple fiber market trend remained stable, the raw material dissolving pulp market fluctuated slightly, the cost side performed mediocrely, and the cost side support was limited; the overall inventory level in the market was not high, there was no obvious inventory pressure for the time being, and the supply side support still existed. Downstream rayon yarn mills mainly consumed inventory and followed up on demand. The overall market trading atmosphere was stable, and the viscose staple fiber market price was weak and consolidated, continuing the stable trend.

Price trend

According to the commodity market analysis system of SunSirs, last week (October 13-19, 2025), the market price of viscose staple fiber was weak and stable. As of October 19, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 13,120 RMB/ton, which was the same as the previous price.

Analysis review

Cost side:

Last week (October 13-19, 2025), the market price of raw material dissolving pulp remained relatively stable, with weak demand and limited support from the cost side. As of October 19, the price of domestic dissolving pulp was around 6,700 RMB/ton, the price of overseas hardwood pulp was around 800 US dollars/ton, and the price of softwood pulp was around 870 US dollars/ton. The market prices of auxiliary materials such as liquid caustic soda and sulfuric acid were generally stable with small fluctuations, providing general support from the cost side.

Low inventory levels

Industry supply remained stable, with the daily operating rate of the market remaining at around 75%. Inventory levels at various viscose staple fiber manufacturers were low, and downstream yarn companies were taking delivery on demand. Overall inventory levels in the viscose staple fiber market decreased, and industry supply fluctuations had not been significant. Some manufacturers had low inventories, and the positive support from the supply side was limited.

Downstream manufacturers were purchasing goods on demand

The operating rate of downstream rayon yarn plants had increased slightly, with minimal price fluctuations. As of October 19th, the price of ring-spun R30S yarn in Jiangsu Province was around 17,200 RMB/ton, and that of ring-spun R40S yarn was around 18,300 RMB/ton. The market was traditionally in the off-season, and downstream rayon yarn transactions were suboptimal. Only certain types of vortex-spun rayon yarn were seeing slightly better export orders. Spinning mills were primarily consuming raw material inventories and were in urgent need of replenishment, with no significant improvement in demand.

Market outlook

On the raw material side, the market for dissolving pulp (the main ingredient) and sulfuric acid (the auxiliary ingredient) is likely to remain generally stable, while the market for liquid caustic soda may see a narrow decline. Therefore, it is expected that the market price trend of viscose staple fiber raw materials will decline in the short term, and the cost side will be insufficiently supported.

Supply and demand side: The operating rate of viscose staple fiber market equipment may not fluctuate much, and the inventory levels of some manufacturers are relatively low. Therefore, it is expected that the supply side of the viscose staple fiber market will be relatively strong in the short term; the terminal market demand has increased, and procurement is mainly on demand. It is expected that the driving force from the demand side of the viscose staple fiber market will be limited in the short term.

On the whole, the main raw material dissolving pulp market may remain weak and stalemate, the overall supply is sufficient, downstream spinning mills mainly sign orders on demand and purchase on demand, and under the mixed news on the market, viscose staple fiber manufacturers may maintain their previous quotations. Therefore, analysts at SunSirs predict that in the short term, the domestic viscose staple fiber market will be stable with small fluctuations, and the price is expected to be 13,000-13,200 RMB/ton.

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