According to  the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, the upward trend of corrugated paper prices continued to expand last week, with prices rising in many regions. On August 22, 2025, the average ex factory price of 140g corrugated paper was 2,654 RMB/ton, an increase of 1.69% compared to the average price on August 17.

In terms of upstream raw materials: Last week, the price of wastepaper in Zhejiang region fluctuated, while the price of wastepaper in domestic paper mills remained stable with small fluctuations. On August 22, 2025, the average purchase price of A-grade waste yellow board paper in Zhejiang region was 1,630 RMB/ton, a decrease of 0.12% compared to the average price on August 17. Recently, the price increase of wastepaper has gradually slowed down, and the replenishment of wastepaper in many paper mills is coming to an end. The amount of wastepaper in paper mills has returned to a high level. Meanwhile, with the expectation of rising wastepaper prices, shipments from packaging stations are also slowing down. Under the pressure of profit, some paper companies in certain regions have begun to tentatively lower the price of waste yellow cardboard, correcting their expectations for an increase.

On the supply side: Recently, the inventory pressure of paper mills has eased, and some enterprises have stopped production for maintenance, which has led to a decrease in corrugated paper production and to some extent alleviated the market supply pressure. However, with the opening of Mid-Autumn Festival stocking status, after the decline of finished paper inventory of paper enterprises, paper enterprises will return to the high load production status, and the supply pressure may reappear at that time.

On the demand side: The current demand for corrugated paper in the market is recovering, and paper companies are accelerating the price increase of corrugated paper due to factors such as pressure on raw material costs and positive expectations for Mid Autumn Festival consumption. However, downstream packaging companies are still in the stage of stocking up to avoid the risk of continuous price increases in the later stage. In addition, at the beginning of the week, large-scale paper companies continued to issue price increase notices for the second half of the week, and the market atmosphere for price increases remained strong.

The paper analyst from SunSirs believes that with the upcoming peak sales season, downstream markets are actively stocking up. In addition, leading paper mills continue to release price increase information, which drives the overall market to be positive. The future market should pay attention to the implementation of price increases, and it is expected that corrugated paper prices will maintain an upward trend in the short term.

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