Price trend

According to the commodity market analysis system of SunSirs, as of July 27, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 12,940 RMB/ton, and the price was weak and stable.

Analysis review

Last week (July 21-27, 2025), the market for dissolving pulp, the main raw material of viscose staple fiber, remained stable, with general support on the cost side. The inventory levels of various viscose staple fiber manufacturers declined compared with the previous period, and the supply side performed well. Downstream companies mainly consumed raw material inventories and replenished stocks on demand. The viscose staple fiber market was weak and stable.

Costs: 

Last week (July 21-27, 2025), the market price of raw material dissolving pulp remained relatively stable, with domestic dissolving pulp temporarily priced at around 6,700 RMB/ton, while overseas hardwood pulp prices hovered around $800/ton and coniferous pulp prices around $870/ton. The market prices of auxiliary materials, such as liquid caustic soda and sulfuric acid, remained largely stable with minor fluctuations, providing general support from the cost side.

Supply was loose:

Industry supply was declining, and the daily market operating rate remained around 75%. Inventory levels at various viscose staple fiber manufacturers declined compared to previous periods, with downstream yarn manufacturers taking delivery on demand. Overall inventory levels in the viscose staple fiber market had decreased, but market supply remained ample, and positive support from the supply side was limited.

Downstream replenished stocks as needed

The operating rate of downstream rayon yarn plants increased slightly, with minimal price fluctuations. As of July 27th, the price of ring-spun R30S yarn in Jiangsu Province was around 17,100 RMB/ton, and that of ring-spun R40S yarn was around 18,300 RMB/ton. The market was traditionally in the off-season, and downstream rayon yarn market transactions were suboptimal. Only certain types of vortex-spun rayon yarn were seeing some improvement in export orders. Spinning mills were primarily consuming raw material inventories and were urgently looking to replenish stocks, with no significant improvement in demand.

Future outlook:

On the raw material side, the market for dissolving pulp (the main ingredient) and sulfuric acid (the auxiliary ingredient) is likely to remain generally stable, while the market for liquid caustic soda may see a narrow decline. Therefore, it’s excepted there is a downward trend in viscose staple fiber prices in the short term, with insufficient cost support.

Supply and demand side: The operating rate of viscose staple fiber market equipment may not fluctuate much, and some manufacturers have high inventory levels. Therefore, it is expected that the supply side of the viscose staple fiber market will not be well supported in the short term; the terminal market is still in the traditional off-season, and new orders are limited. Downstream yarn mills have a certain risk aversion sentiment and may maintain signing orders based on just-in-time needs. It is expected that the driving force from the demand side of the viscose staple fiber market will be average in the short term.

On the whole, the main raw material dissolving pulp market may remain weak and stalemate, the overall supply is sufficient, and downstream spinning mills mainly sign orders on demand. Under the mixed news on the market, viscose staple fiber manufacturers may maintain their previous quotations. Therefore, analysts of SunSirs predict that in the short term, the domestic viscose staple fiber market will be stable with small fluctuations, and the price is expected to be 12,800-13,000 RMB/ton.

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