Price trend

According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of SunSirs, as of July 18th, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 12,940 RMB/ton, a decrease of 80 RMB/ton from last week, with a weekly decline of 0.61%.

Analysis review

This week (July 14-18, 2025), the market for the main raw material of viscose staple fiber, dissolved pulp, remains stable, with average cost support. Various viscose staple fiber manufacturers still have a certain amount of finished product inventory, and the supply side performed well. Downstream yarn factories mainly execute a new round of orders, and the overall speed of goods in the market is weak and stable. The market price of viscose staple fiber is weak and slightly declines. In the future, attention should be paid to the follow-up of new orders from downstream yarn factories.

In terms of cost: This week (July 14-18, 2025), there has been little change in the market price of raw material dissolving pulp, with a weak stalemate. As of now, the price of domestically produced dissolving pulp is around 6,700 RMB/ton, the price of outer broad-leaved pulp is around 800 US dollars per ton, and the price of coniferous pulp is around 870 US dollars per ton. The market prices of auxiliary materials such as liquid alkali and sulfuric acid remain stable but fluctuate slightly, with average cost support.

Abundant supply: Some viscose staple fiber units in Shandong region were shut down for maintenance at the end of last month, causing a decline in industry supply. Currently, the daily operating rate in the market remains at around 75%. Downstream yarn companies are picking up goods as needed, and the overall inventory of the viscose staple fiber market has decreased. However, the market supply is still abundant, and the positive support from the supply side is limited.

Downstream replenishment is based on demand

The operating rate of downstream cotton yarn market equipment has slightly increased, and price fluctuations are not significant. As of now, the price of ring spun R30S in Jiangsu region is around 17,100 RMB/ton, and the price of ring spun R40S is around 18,300 RMB/ton. The market is in a traditional off-season of demand, and downstream cotton yarn market transactions are not ideal. Only a few models of vortex spun cotton yarn have slightly better export orders. Cotton mills mainly consume raw material inventory and replenish urgently needed goods, with no significant improvement in demand.

Future outlook:

On the raw material side, the main material dissolution slurry market and the auxiliary material sulfuric acid market are generally stable, while the liquid alkali market may experience a narrow decline. Therefore, it is expected that the market price trend of viscose staple fiber raw materials will decline in the short term, and the cost support will be insufficient.

Supply and demand side: The operating rate of the viscose staple fiber market equipment may not fluctuate significantly, and some manufacturers have high inventory levels. Therefore, it is expected that the supply side support of the viscose staple fiber market will be poor in the short term; The terminal market is still in the traditional off-season of demand, with limited new orders placed. Downstream yarn mills are experiencing a certain degree of risk aversion and may maintain their demand for signing orders. It is expected that the driving force of the viscose staple fiber market from the demand side will be moderate in the short term.

Overall, the main raw material dissolution slurry market may be weak and stagnant, with sufficient overall supply. Downstream yarn mills mainly sign orders according to demand. Under the interweaving of on-site news, viscose staple fiber manufacturers may maintain their previous quotations. Therefore, analysts from SunSirs predict that the domestic viscose staple fiber market will remain stable with small fluctuations in the short term, and the price is expected to be accepted at 12,800-13,000 RMB/ton.

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