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SunSirs: Building Material, Weak Trend of Domestic Wood Pulp Spot Market on February 18

February 19 2020 10:27:46     SunSirs (Selena)

According to the monitoring of SunSirs: as of February 28, the market price of softwood pulp was 4,500 RMB/ ton, and that of hardwood pulp was 3,750 RMB/ ton. The overall spot market of wood pulp was weak. The COVID-19 hit the short-term domestic economy, and the downstream resumption of work was delayed. The recovery of the demand side remains to be observed.

China's domestic port inventory rebounded: as of the end of January, the total inventory of the three places in China was about 1,675,000 tons, an increase of 99,000 tons on a month on month basis, or 6.3%, or 3% on a year-on-year basis. Near the Spring Festival period, the port inventory rebounded on a month on month basis, Qingdao port rebounded slightly on a month on month basis, and Changshu port inventory increased significantly on a month on month basis.

Futures: SP2005 contract closed at 4,512 RMB/ ton in the last trading day, up 24 RMB/ ton; the total position of pulp futures is 97,578 at present, down 700. Spot: the day before, pulp spot market was in a weak position. Last week, the price of the industry remained stable. The market was seriously affected by the logistics. Most of the industry only offered one-sided prices, mostly holding a wait-and-see attitude, and the actual transaction was light.

On February 17, the softwood pulp commodity index was 92.11, unchanged from the previous day, down 39.45% from 152.11 (2017-11-08), the highest point in the cycle, and up 1.99% from 90.31, the lowest point on December 16, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2013-09-01 till now)

On February 17, hardpulp commodity index was 81.41, unchanged from the previous day, down 40.95% from 137.86 (2017-11-13), the highest point in the cycle, and up 1.00% from 80.60, the lowest point on December 25, 2019. (Note: cycle refers to 2012-11-30 to now)

According to the wood pulp analyst of SunSirs, it is expected that the pulp price will fluctuate in the range of 4,200-4,600 RMB at the end of February, and it is suggested that the short and long strategy can be adopted at an appropriate low level.

 

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