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SunSirs: Inventory Increase and Weak Demand, Steam Coal Market fell slightly (10.14-10.18)
October 22 2019 15:40:11SunSirs(Selena)
  1. Price Trend

According to the monitor of SunSirs, the price of steam coal fell slightly last week. At the beginning of the week, the price of power coal remained at about 584 RMB/ ton, and at the end of the week, the price of power coal remained at about 579 RMB/ ton, with the overall price slightly down 0.86%.

  1. Analysis of Influencing Factors

Port steam coal storage continued to increase, and supply pressure on the steam coal market was negative. According to the SunSirs, as of October 15, Qinhuangdao Port's coal inventory was 7.11 million tons, 1.4 million tons higher than the same period last year. Overall, the northern port's inventory was 3.8 million tons higher than the same period last year. In addition, in recent years, the number of anchor ships in the northern port has remained at a low level, with high inventory and weak demand, forming a strong negative effect on the power coal market. According to SunSirs, as of October 13, the number of anchor ships in important ports around the Bohai Sea was about 70% less than the same period last year.

The daily consumption of steam coal of power plants fell slightly, and the consumption of thermal coal decreased. According to SunSirs, as of October 16, the six major power plants in the coastal area consumed 599,000 tons of coal per day, a decrease of 40,000 tons on a week-on-week basis, an increase of 96,000 tons year-on-year; an inventory of 16.071 million tons, an increase of 160,000 tons on a week-on-week basis, an increase of 556,000 tons year-on-year over the same period last year.

 

  1. Market Forecast

SunSirs’ analysts believe that: at present, on one hand, the pressure of steam coal supply is still on, on the other hand, the daily consumption of power plants is slightly reduced, the overall demand for steam coal is weakened, and it is expected that the power coal market will continue to be weak in the short term.

 

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